Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.001374 0.001535 0.001696 0.001868 0.002047 0.002227 0.002421
2025-10-12 0.001133 0.001368 0.001608 0.001872 0.002152 0.002438 0.002752
2025-10-19 0.000922 0.001209 0.001512 0.001852 0.002218 0.002598 0.003020
2025-10-26 0.000748 0.001073 0.001427 0.001832 0.002276 0.002743 0.003267
2025-11-02 0.000602 0.000955 0.001350 0.001813 0.002328 0.002875 0.003495
2025-11-09 0.000485 0.000857 0.001289 0.001803 0.002385 0.003009 0.003721
2025-11-16 0.000390 0.000777 0.001240 0.001803 0.002447 0.003145 0.003945
2025-11-23 0.000311 0.000707 0.001198 0.001805 0.002508 0.003276 0.004161
2025-11-30 0.000271 0.000685 0.001210 0.001869 0.002637 0.003480 0.004456
2025-12-07 0.000208 0.000621 0.001167 0.001863 0.002684 0.003590 0.004644
2025-12-14 0.000142 0.000543 0.001100 0.001826 0.002691 0.003653 0.004779
2025-12-21 0.000112 0.000514 0.001094 0.001860 0.002780 0.003807 0.005012
2025-12-28 0.000061 0.000447 0.001049 0.001863 0.002853 0.003967 0.005282
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000389 0.001012 0.001875 0.002939 0.004145 0.005573
2026-01-11 0.000001 0.000322 0.000954 0.001860 0.002990 0.004282 0.005820
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000261 0.000898 0.001843 0.003038 0.004415 0.006062
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000206 0.000845 0.001826 0.003084 0.004544 0.006298
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000162 0.000802 0.001818 0.003139 0.004681 0.006542
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000126 0.000766 0.001819 0.003203 0.004828 0.006795
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000095 0.000734 0.001821 0.003267 0.004974 0.007046
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000087 0.000746 0.001886 0.003408 0.005209 0.007399
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000060 0.000710 0.001880 0.003459 0.005337 0.007627
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000032 0.000655 0.001843 0.003468 0.005413 0.007794